Rockets vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 21

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The Miami Heat (29-40) are underdogs (by 4.5 points) to break a six-game home losing streak when they host the Houston Rockets (45-25) on Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET.

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Rockets vs. Heat Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final result of Rockets 113, Heat 108.

  • Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-189)
  • Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 221.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Rockets (-4.5)

Recent Rockets vs. Heat Matchups

Rockets vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/29/2024 Rockets -8.5 215.5 -346 +274 104-100 MIA
4/5/2024 Heat -3 218.5 -159 +135 119-104 MIA
1/8/2024 Heat -4 220 -175 +147 120-113 MIA

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston is 39-31-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Rockets are 19-17 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • Houston has gone over in 37 of its 69 games with a set total (53.6%).
  • The Rockets have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 36, or 75%, of those games.
  • This season, Houston has won 24 of its 32 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -189 on the moneyline.

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami's ATS record is 29-37-3 this year.
  • The Heat have an 8-10-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • In Miami's 69 games with a set total, 36 have hit the over (52.2%).
  • The Heat have won 25% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (8-24).
  • Miami has gone 4-13 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +157 or longer (23.5%).

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Rockets vs. Heat Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets:

Reed Sheppard: Out (Thumb),

Amen Thompson: Probable (Foot)

Heat

Heat:

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Andrew Wiggins: Probable (Ankle),

Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand)

Rockets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: SCHN, FDSSUN, and NBA TV
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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