Stars vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - March 27

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The Dallas Stars (46-21-4) bring a three-game win streak into a road matchup with the Calgary Flames (34-25-11), who have won four straight, on Thursday, March 27 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which team we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

During the last 10 outings for the Flames (6-2-2), their offense has put up 31 goals while their defense has conceded 28 goals. They have recorded 27 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored six goals (22.2%).

Stars vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final result of Stars 4, Flames 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-131)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 46-21-4 record overall, with a 9-4-13 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Dallas has 32 points (15-7-2) in the 24 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the eight games this season the Stars registered only one goal, they've finished 1-7-0 (two points).
  • Dallas has finished 6-8-2 in the 16 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 14 points).
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals in 47 games (39-6-2, 80 points).
  • In the 25 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 41 points after finishing 20-4-1.
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Dallas is 21-13-1 (43 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 34 games. The Stars went 24-7-3 in those matchups (51 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames have a 34-25-11 record this season and are 8-11-19 in games that have required overtime.
  • Calgary has earned 35 points (13-2-9) in its 24 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Flames scored just one goal in 12 games and have gone 2-7-3 (seven points).
  • Calgary has 10 points (3-9-4) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Flames have earned 62 points in their 38 games with more than two goals scored.
  • Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 31 games this season and has recorded 37 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 22-7-5 (49 points).
  • The Flames' opponents have had more shots in 33 games. The Flames finished 12-15-6 in those contests (30 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
5th 3.37 Goals Scored 2.61 30th
4th 2.58 Goals Allowed 2.91 15th
11th 28.8 Shots 28.9 9th
14th 27.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
13th 22.64% Power Play % 21.39% 18th
2nd 84.38% Penalty Kill % 74.88% 26th

Stars vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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