The Golden State Warriors are slight 3.5-point favorites for Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Chase Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 1-1.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Warriors 113, Rockets 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-160)
- Total Pick: Over 203.5 (computer predicts 223.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (+3.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Rockets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/23/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 205 | -177 | +148 | 109-94 HOU |
| 4/20/2025 | Rockets | -1.5 | 213 | -121 | +101 | 95-85 GS |
| 4/6/2025 | Warriors | -5 | 225.5 | -198 | +164 | 106-96 HOU |
| 2/13/2025 | Warriors | -1.5 | 225.5 | -121 | +100 | 105-98 GS |
| 12/11/2024 | Rockets | -2.5 | 220.5 | -153 | +129 | 91-90 HOU |
| 12/5/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 219.5 | -183 | +152 | 99-93 GS |
| 11/2/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 216 | -192 | +161 | 127-121 GS |
| 4/4/2024 | Warriors | -3 | 227.5 | -150 | +125 | 133-110 GS |
| 11/20/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 220 | -290 | +231 | 121-116 GS |
| 10/29/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 223 | -269 | +218 | 106-95 GS |
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State is 42-40-0 against the spread this season.
- The Warriors have a 19-26 record against the spread in games they were favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
- The Warriors have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 37, or 67.3%, of those games.
- This season, Golden State has won 30 of its 46 games, or 65.2%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline.
Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Houston has put together a 43-39-0 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this year, the Rockets are 9-9 against the spread.
- Houston has gone over in 45 of its 82 games with a set total (54.9%).
- The Rockets have an 11-17 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.3% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +134 or longer, Houston has a record of 5-12 (29.4%).
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Warriors vs. Rockets Injury Report
Warriors
Warriors:
Jimmy Butler: Day-To-Day (Pelvis)
Rockets
Rockets:
Jae'Sean Tate: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Jock Landale: Day-To-Day (Knee)
Warriors vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, April 26, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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