Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

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The Colorado Avalanche visit the Dallas Stars in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at American Airlines Center on Monday, April 28, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The series is tied 2-2. Bookmakers favor the Avalanche in this matchup, assigning them -136 odds on the moneyline against the Stars (+115).

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Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which squad we think will emerge with the victory in Monday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Stars 4, Avalanche 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (+115)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche are 9-6-15 in overtime contests as part of a 49-29-4 overall record.
  • In the 23 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-7-3 record (good for 29 points).
  • The 15 times this season the Avalanche finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
  • Colorado has taken 12 points from the 14 games this season when it scored two goals (5-7-2 record).
  • The Avalanche are 45-8-1 in the 54 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 91 points).
  • In the 34 games when Colorado has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 24-8-2 record (50 points).
  • In the 56 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 35-18-3 (73 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents 23 times, and went 13-9-1 (27 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have earned a record of 11-6-17 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 50-26-6.
  • Dallas has earned 38 points (17-7-4) in its 28 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Stars registered just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has earned 17 points (7-8-3 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals in 56 games, earning 91 points from those contests.
  • Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 30 games this season and has registered 45 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 46 games, going 28-13-5 to register 61 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
6th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
5th 29.8 Shots 28.4 13th
3rd 25.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
7th 25.22% Power Play % 22% 17th
12th 79.51% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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