Rockets vs. Warriors Game 5 Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 30

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The Golden State Warriors bring a 3-1 series record into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Rockets are favored by 4 points in the contest, which will be broadcast on at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this game expects a final score of Rockets 113, Warriors 110.

  • Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-181)
  • Total Pick: Over 204 (computer predicts 223.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+4)

Recent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups

Rockets vs Warriors (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/28/2025 Warriors -4 203.5 -173 +145 109-106 GS
4/26/2025 Warriors -3.5 205 -141 +120 104-93 GS
4/23/2025 Rockets -4 205 -177 +148 109-94 HOU
4/20/2025 Rockets -1.5 213 -121 +101 95-85 GS
4/6/2025 Warriors -5 225.5 -198 +164 106-96 HOU
2/13/2025 Warriors -1.5 225.5 -121 +100 105-98 GS
12/11/2024 Rockets -2.5 220.5 -153 +129 91-90 HOU
12/5/2024 Rockets -4.5 219.5 -183 +152 99-93 GS
11/2/2024 Rockets -4.5 216 -192 +161 127-121 GS
4/4/2024 Warriors -3 227.5 -150 +125 133-110 GS
11/20/2023 Warriors -7 220 -290 +231 121-116 GS
10/29/2023 Warriors -7 223 -269 +218 106-95 GS

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston is 43-39-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Rockets are 20-22 against the spread.
  • A total of 45 of Houston's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (54.9%).
  • The Rockets have won 41, or 75.9%, of the 54 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Houston has won 29 of its 39 games, or 74.4%, when favored by at least -181 on the moneyline.

Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Golden State has a 42-40-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Warriors have a 9-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4 points or more this season.
  • A total of 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • The Warriors have been the moneyline underdog 27 total times this season. They've finished 11-16 in those games.
  • Golden State has gone 6-7 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +151 or longer (46.2%).

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Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets:

Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)

Warriors

Warriors:

Jimmy Butler: Probable (Pelvis)

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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