Stars vs. Jets Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Game 3

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Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round on Sunday, May 11 will see the Dallas Stars hosting the Winnipeg Jets at American Airlines Center at 4:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The teams are tied up 1-1 in the series. The Stars are favored (-136) against the Jets (+114).

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs Second Round matchup with a look at who we project to win the game.

Stars vs. Jets Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final result of Stars 4, Jets 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-136)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Jets (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 50-26-6 overall and 11-6-17 in overtime games.
  • Dallas has 40 points (18-7-4) in the 29 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 10 games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they've finished 1-9-0 (two points).
  • Dallas has scored a pair of goals in 18 games this season (7-8-3 record, 17 points).
  • The Stars have scored more than two goals in 60 games (47-10-3, 97 points).
  • In the 33 games when Dallas has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 24-8-1 record (49 points).
  • When it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 51 times, and went 31-15-5 (67 points).

Jets Splits and Trends

  • The Jets have a record of 56-22-4 this season and are 14-4-18 in overtime matchups.
  • In the 27 games Winnipeg has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 41 points.
  • This season the Jets recorded just one goal in 15 games and have gone 1-12-2 (four points).
  • Winnipeg has 15 points (7-10-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Jets have scored at least three goals in 57 games, earning 107 points from those contests.
  • This season, Winnipeg has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 34 games has a record of 26-7-1 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Winnipeg has posted a record of 41-5-1 (83 points).
  • The Jets' opponents have had more shots in 43 games. The Jets finished 19-21-3 in those matchups (41 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Jets AVG Jets Rank
3rd 3.35 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
6th 2.71 Goals Allowed 2.32 1st
13th 28.4 Shots 28.2 16th
23rd 29 Shots Allowed 27.2 10th
17th 22% Power Play % 28.9% 1st
4th 82.02% Penalty Kill % 79.4% 13th

Stars vs. Jets Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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