Stars vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 1

Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals will see the Dallas Stars host the Edmonton Oilers on Wednesday, May 21, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Stars are listed with -132 odds on the moneyline against the Oilers (+111).

Watch the NHL, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which team we think will emerge with the victory in Wednesday's Stanley Cup Semifinals action.

Stars vs. Oilers Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Stars 4, Oilers 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-132)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Oilers (+1.5)

Catch NHL action all year long on Fubo.

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars are 12-6-18 in overtime contests as part of a 50-26-6 overall record.
• In the 30 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 19-7-4 record (good for 42 points).
• In the 10 games this season the Stars registered only one goal, they've finished 1-9-0 (two points).
• Dallas has taken 19 points from the 19 games this season when it scored two goals (8-8-3 record).
• The Stars have scored three or more goals 62 times, and are 49-10-3 in those games (to record 101 points).
• In the 35 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 53 points after finishing 26-8-1.
• When it has outshot opponents, Dallas is 23-13-1 (47 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 54 games, going 33-16-5 to register 71 points.

Oilers Splits and Trends

• The Oilers have a 48-29-5 record this season and are 15-5-20 in games that have required overtime.
• Edmonton has earned 56 points (26-13-4) in its 43 games decided by one goal.
• Across the seven games this season the Oilers finished with just one goal, they have earned four points.
• Edmonton has six points (2-9-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
• The Oilers have scored three or more goals 67 times, earning 107 points from those matchups (52-12-3).
• This season, Edmonton has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 20-9-4 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Edmonton is 44-17-4 (92 points).
• The Oilers have been outshot by opponents 23 times this season, and earned 17 points in those games.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, May 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

Sign up for Fubo to watch the Stars play Oilers.