Oilers vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 3

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On Sunday the Dallas Stars go on the road against the Edmonton Oilers in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals, beginning at 3 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied at 1-1. The Stars are the underdog (+143) in this matchup with the Oilers (-170).

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Get ready for this Stanley Cup Semifinals matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory.

Oilers vs. Stars Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Oilers 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-170)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers are 48-29-5 overall and 15-5-20 in overtime contests.
  • Edmonton has 56 points (26-13-4) in the 43 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the seven games this season the Oilers scored only one goal, they went 2-5-0 (four points).
  • Edmonton has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-9-2 record).
  • The Oilers are 53-13-3 in the 69 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 109 points).
  • In the 35 games when Edmonton has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 21-10-4 to record 46 points.
  • In the 65 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Edmonton is 44-17-4 (92 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents in 24 games, going 8-15-1 to record 17 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars (50-26-6 overall) have posted a record of 12-6-18 in contests that have required OT this season.
  • In the 30 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 42 points.
  • This season the Stars scored just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has earned 19 points (8-8-3 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals 63 times, earning 103 points from those matchups (50-10-3).
  • This season, Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 35 games has a record of 26-8-1 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 24-13-1 (49 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 54 games. The Stars went 33-16-5 in those contests (71 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
1st 32 Shots 28.4 13th
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
12th 23.72% Power Play % 22% 17th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Oilers vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, May 25, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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