Oilers vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 4

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The Edmonton Oilers hit the ice in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals against the Dallas Stars at Rogers Place on Tuesday, May 27, starting at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Oilers are up 2-1. The Oilers are favored (-155) against the Stars (+130).

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Here is our prediction for who will capture the victory in this Stanley Cup Semifinals contest.

Oilers vs. Stars Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Oilers 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-155)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers are 48-29-5 overall and 15-5-20 in overtime contests.
  • Edmonton is 26-13-4 (56 points) in its 43 games decided by one goal.
  • In the seven games this season the Oilers scored just one goal, they went 2-5-0 (four points).
  • Edmonton has finished 2-9-2 in the 13 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Oilers are 54-13-3 in the 70 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 111 points).
  • In the 36 games when Edmonton has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 22-10-4 to register 48 points.
  • In the 65 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Edmonton is 44-17-4 (92 points).
  • The Oilers' opponents have had more shots in 25 games. The Oilers finished 9-15-1 in those contests (19 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 50-26-6 record this season and are 12-6-18 in matchups that have required overtime.
  • In the 30 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 42 points.
  • This season the Stars registered just one goal in 11 games and they've earned two points (1-10-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has 19 points (8-8-3) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals 63 times, earning 103 points from those matchups (50-10-3).
  • This season, Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal in 35 games has a record of 26-8-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 24-14-1 (49 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 54 games. The Stars finished 33-16-5 in those matchups (71 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
1st 32 Shots 28.4 13th
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
12th 23.72% Power Play % 22% 17th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Oilers vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, May 27, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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