Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 21

The Oklahoma City Thunder play the Houston Rockets as 6.5-point favorites on Tuesday, October 21, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. This contest is the 2025-26 season opener for both teams.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final result of Thunder 119, Rockets 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-259)
  • Total Pick: Under 227.5 (computer predicts 224.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-6.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Rockets Matchups

Thunder vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/4/2025 Thunder -5.5 227 -230 +190 125-111 HOU
3/3/2025 Thunder -11.5 228.5 -562 +409 137-128 OKC
12/14/2024 Thunder -5.5 215.5 -245 +199 111-96 OKC
12/1/2024 Thunder -1.5 220.5 -117 -102 119-116 HOU
11/8/2024 Thunder -7.5 222 -346 +271 126-107 OKC

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City was 54-26-2 against the spread last year.
  • The Thunder had an ATS record of 37-21-1 as 6.5-point favorites or more last year.
  • Last year, 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games went over the point total.
  • The Thunder won 83.5% of the games last season in which they were the moneyline favorite (66-13).
  • Oklahoma City had a record of 49-8 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -259 or shorter last year (86%).

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston put together a 43-39-0 ATS record last season.
  • The Rockets had an ATS record of 3-4 as underdogs of 6.5 points or more last year.
  • Houston and its opponent combined to hit the over 45 out of 82 times last year.
  • The Rockets were underdogs in 28 games last season and won 11 (39.3%) of those contests.
  • Houston had a record of 1-5 when it was set as the underdog by +211 or more by oddsmakers last season.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Jalen Williams: Out (Wrist),

Isaiah Joe: Out (Knee)

Rockets

Rockets:

Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),

Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Ankle),

Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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