Stars vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - Oct. 28

Ottawa Senators v Washington Capitals

Photo: Scott Taetsch / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Washington Capitals (6-3) carry a three-game road winning streak into a matchup with the Dallas Stars (5-3-1) on Tuesday, Oct. 28 at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we predict to emerge victorious in Tuesday's hockey game.

Stars vs. Capitals Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Stars 4, Capitals 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-128)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have gone 1-1-2 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 5-3-1.
  • Dallas has seven points (3-0-1) in the four games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Stars registered just one goal, they lost both times.
  • Dallas lost in overtime in the only game this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering one point).
  • The Stars are 5-1-0 in the six games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 10 points).
  • In the two games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it won both times (four points).
  • In the five games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 3-1-1 (seven points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in four games. The Stars went 2-2-0 in those matchups (four points).

Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals have a 1-0-1 record in overtime matchups this season and a 6-3 overall record.
  • In the three games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up four points.
  • This season the Capitals recorded only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
  • The Capitals have scored three or more goals in six games, earning 10 points from those contests.
  • This season, Washington has recorded a single power-play goal in four games has a record of 3-1-0 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Washington has posted a record of 3-2-0 (six points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents four times this season, and earned six points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Capitals AVG Capitals Rank
16th 3 Goals Scored 3 16th
23rd 3.33 Goals Allowed 2.33 1st
20th 27.7 Shots 29.7 9th
18th 28.9 Shots Allowed 26.3 9th
4th 32.26% Power Play % 20.69% 17th
27th 67.86% Penalty Kill % 66.67% 28th

Stars vs. Capitals Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, October 28, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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