Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 5

The Dallas Mavericks (8-15) will try to continue a three-game win streak when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (21-1) at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 5, 2025 as 14.5-point underdogs. The Thunder have won 13 games in a row.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Thunder 123, Mavericks 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-1111)
  • Total Pick: Under 228.5 (computer predicts 228.2 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-14.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Mavericks Matchups

Thunder vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
10/27/2025 Thunder -8.5 226.5 -375 +296 101-94 OKC
1/23/2025 Thunder -11.5 224.5 -606 +447 121-115 DAL
1/17/2025 Thunder -3.5 221.5 -168 +143 106-98 DAL
12/10/2024 Thunder -4.5 230 -182 +152 118-104 OKC
11/17/2024 Thunder -7.5 226 -298 +238 121-119 DAL

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together an 11-11-0 record against the spread.
  • The Thunder are 3-4 against the spread when favored by 14.5 points or more this season.
  • In Oklahoma City's 23 games with a set total, 12 have hit the over (52.2%).
  • The Thunder have entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 21, or 95.5%, of those games.
  • Oklahoma City has been at least a -1111 moneyline favorite six times this season and won all of those games.

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Dallas' ATS record is 12-11-0 this year.
  • The Mavericks have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 14.5 points or more this season (0-1).
  • Of Dallas' 23 games with a set total, eight have hit the over (34.8%).
  • The Mavericks have been the moneyline underdog 16 total times this season. They've gone 5-11 in those games.
  • Dallas has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +705 or longer.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Ankle),

Alex Caruso: Out (Quadricep),

Luguentz Dort: Out (Adductor)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee),

Dante Exum: Out For Season (Knee),

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

P.J. Washington: Questionable (Ankle),

Daniel Gafford: Questionable (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, December 5, 2025
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: Amazon Prime Video
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

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