Photo: Chris Coduto / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Houston Rockets (38-22) take the court against the Golden State Warriors (31-30) as 8.5-point favorites on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Rockets 117, Warriors 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-370)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 226.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+8.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/26/2025 | Warriors | -3.5 | 224.5 | -162 | +136 | 104-100 HOU |
| 5/4/2025 | Rockets | -2.5 | 205.5 | -136 | +115 | 103-89 GS |
| 5/2/2025 | Warriors | -5.5 | 208.5 | -245 | +199 | 115-107 HOU |
| 4/30/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 203.5 | -183 | +153 | 131-116 HOU |
| 4/28/2025 | Warriors | -4 | 203.5 | -173 | +145 | 109-106 GS |
| 4/26/2025 | Warriors | -3.5 | 205 | -141 | +120 | 104-93 GS |
| 4/23/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 205 | -177 | +148 | 109-94 HOU |
| 4/20/2025 | Rockets | -1.5 | 213 | -121 | +101 | 95-85 GS |
| 4/6/2025 | Warriors | -5 | 225.5 | -198 | +164 | 106-96 HOU |
| 2/13/2025 | Warriors | -1.5 | 225.5 | -121 | +100 | 105-98 GS |
| 12/11/2024 | Rockets | -2.5 | 220.5 | -153 | +129 | 91-90 HOU |
| 12/5/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 219.5 | -183 | +152 | 99-93 GS |
| 11/2/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 216 | -192 | +161 | 127-121 GS |
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Houston has compiled a 27-33-0 record against the spread.
- The Rockets have an 8-16 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.
- The teams have hit the over in 26 of Houston's 61 games with a set total.
- The Rockets have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 35, or 64.8%, of those games.
- This season, Houston has won 16 of its 20 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -370 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State has a 27-34-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors are 1-4 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
- Of Golden State's 61 games with a set total, 35 have hit the over (57.4%).
- The Warriors have a 7-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 35% of those games).
- Golden State has gone 1-4 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +294 or longer (20%).
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Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle),
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Knee),
Alperen Sengun: Questionable (Illness),
Amen Thompson: Questionable (Ankle),
Jabari Smith: Questionable (Ankle)
Warriors
Warriors:
Jimmy Butler: Out For Season (Knee),
Stephen Curry: Out (Knee),
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Illness),
Gary Payton II: Questionable (Ankle),
Moses Moody: Out (Wrist),
Seth Curry: Out (Back),
Will Richard: Out (Ankle)
Rockets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Arena: Toyota Center
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