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Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets (39-26) are 7-point favorites against Kevin Durant and the Houston Rockets (40-24) on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at Ball Arena. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN, SCHN, and ALT.
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final result of Nuggets 116, Rockets 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Nuggets (-267)
- Total Pick: Under 232.5 (computer predicts 230.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (+7)
Recent Nuggets vs. Rockets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/20/2025 | Rockets | -1 | 235.5 | -120 | +100 | 115-101 HOU |
| 12/15/2025 | Rockets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -114 | -105 | 128-125 DEN |
| 11/21/2025 | Rockets | -2.5 | 234.5 | -144 | +121 | 112-109 DEN |
| 4/13/2025 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 236 | -247 | +201 | 126-111 DEN |
| 3/23/2025 | Rockets | -7.5 | 224.5 | -313 | +251 | 116-111 DEN |
| 1/15/2025 | Nuggets | -2 | 230 | -125 | +105 | 128-108 HOU |
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver is 36-29-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 7 points or more, the Nuggets have an 11-10 record against the spread.
- In Denver's 64 games with a set total, 40 have hit the over (62.5%).
- The Nuggets have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 30 (68.2%) of those contests.
- Denver has a record of 18-4, a 81.8% win rate, when it's favored by -267 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Houston is 29-35-0 against the spread this year.
- Houston has gone over in 28 of its 64 games with a set total (43.8%).
- The Rockets have won three of the seven games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (42.9%).
- Houston has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +216 or longer.
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Jamal Murray: Probable (Ankle),
Cameron Johnson: Probable (Back)
Rockets
Rockets:
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle),
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Knee),
Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Ankle)
Nuggets vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN, SCHN, and ALT
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
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