Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 23

Dallas Mavericks v Portland Trail Blazers

Photo: Amanda Loman / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Two sliding teams meet when the Golden State Warriors (33-38) visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-48) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites as they look to break a three-game losing streak against the Mavericks, losers of three straight.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Warriors 117, Mavericks 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-127)
  • Total Pick: Under 231.5 (computer predicts 230.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Warriors (-2.5)

Recent Warriors vs. Mavericks Matchups

Warriors vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/22/2026 Warriors -6.5 234.5 -242 +198 123-115 DAL
12/25/2025 Warriors -9.5 230.5 -327 +262 126-116 GS
2/23/2025 Warriors -9 229.5 -400 +313 126-102 GS
2/12/2025 Warriors -7.5 233.5 -321 +257 111-107 DAL
12/15/2024 Mavericks -2 228.5 -115 -104 143-133 DAL
11/12/2024 Warriors -2.5 235.5 -143 +121 120-117 GS

Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Golden State has gone 31-40-0 ATS this season.
  • The Warriors have an 18-22 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
  • The teams have hit the over in 42 of Golden State's 71 games with a set total.
  • The Warriors have won 25, or 56.8%, of the 44 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Golden State has won 23 of its 41 games, or 56.1%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Dallas has compiled a 32-39-0 record against the spread.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 23-23 record against the spread.
  • The teams have combined to hit the over in 31 of Dallas' 71 games with a set total.
  • The Mavericks have gone 13-37 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26% of those games).
  • Dallas has a record of 11-36 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer (23.4%).

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Warriors

Warriors:

Jimmy Butler: Out For Season (Knee),

Seth Curry: Out (Adductor),

Al Horford: Out (Calf),

Stephen Curry: Out (Knee),

Kristaps Porzingis: Probable (Back),

De'Anthony Melton: Questionable (Hand),

Moses Moody: Questionable (Wrist)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Dereck Lively II: Out For Season (Foot),

Kyrie Irving: Out For Season (Knee),

Caleb Martin: Questionable (Foot),

Brandon Williams: Day-To-Day (Concussion Protocol)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, March 23, 2026
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: Peacock and NBCS-BA
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

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