Stars vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - March 26

The Dallas Stars (43-17-11) go on the road to play the New York Islanders (40-27-5) at UBS Arena on Thursday, March 26 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars have lost three games in a row.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which team we predict will come out on top in Thursday's action on the ice.

Over the last 10 contests, the Islanders have recorded a 5-5-0 record after totaling 26 total goals (six power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 18.8%). Their opponents have scored a combined 29 goals in those games.

Stars vs. Islanders Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final result of Islanders 4, Stars 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Islanders (+105)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 43-17-11 record overall, with a 10-11-21 record in games that have gone to overtime.
• Dallas has 45 points (19-5-7) in the 31 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the 10 games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they went 2-6-2 (six points).
• Dallas has taken nine points from the nine games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-3-3 record).
• The Stars are 38-6-6 in the 50 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 82 points).
• In the 27 games when Dallas has scored a single power-play goal, it went 21-4-2 to register 44 points.
• In the 29 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 20-7-2 (42 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 38 games. The Stars finished 21-8-9 in those contests (51 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

• The Islanders have a record of 40-27-5 this season and are 14-5-19 in overtime games.
• New York has earned 44 points (22-8-0) in its 30 games decided by one goal.
• In 12 games this season when the Islanders ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of five points (2-9-1).
• When New York has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 17 points (8-11-1 record).
• The Islanders have earned 61 points in their 38 games with more than two goals scored.
• This season, New York has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 21 games has a record of 14-5-2 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 12-16-4 (28 points).
• The Islanders have been outshot by opponents 35 times this season, and earned 50 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

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