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The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the San Antonio Spurs at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The Spurs are on top 2-1 in the series.
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final score of Spurs 118, Timberwolves 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-188)
- Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 230.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Spurs (-4.5)
Recent Spurs vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8/2026 | Spurs | -5.5 | 216.5 | -218 | +180 | 115-108 SA |
| 5/6/2026 | Spurs | -10 | 217.5 | -424 | +325 | 133-95 SA |
| 5/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 218.5 | -400 | +315 | 104-102 MIN |
| 1/17/2026 | Spurs | -4.5 | 232.5 | -175 | +145 | 126-123 SA |
| 1/11/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 233.5 | -140 | +118 | 104-103 MIN |
| 11/30/2025 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 233.5 | -189 | +157 | 125-112 MIN |
| 3/9/2025 | Timberwolves | -10.5 | 234 | -535 | +397 | 141-124 MIN |
| 12/29/2024 | Timberwolves | -6.5 | 217 | -231 | +188 | 112-110 MIN |
| 12/15/2024 | Timberwolves | -4.5 | 214.5 | -190 | +159 | 106-92 MIN |
| 11/2/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 214.5 | -171 | +142 | 113-103 SA |
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- San Antonio has a 45-35-2 record against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Spurs are 24-22-2 against the spread.
- A total of 35 of San Antonio's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (42.7%).
- This season, the Spurs have been favored 63 times and won 49, or 77.8%, of those games.
- San Antonio has a record of 38-7, a 84.4% win rate, when it's favored by -188 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 38-44-0 this season.
- In games this year in which they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have an 8-4 record against the spread.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 38 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
- The Timberwolves have compiled an 8-15 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 34.8% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer, Minnesota has gone 5-5 (50%).
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out For Season (Leg)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
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